Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)


	Haka		Gnistan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.3	2.9
	2.02	3.5	3
	2.16	3.55	3.03
	2.2	3.43	3.13	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3
	1.99	3.5	3.22	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.14)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)	3.04 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
43.6%

Draw
26.5%

Gnistan
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Haka - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haka: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Gnistan (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gnistan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hughes L. (G) 9. Akintunde J. 15. Almen M. (C) 7. Da Sylva J. 5. Gianini Dantas N. 4. Houston J. 8. Lindholm S. 10. Lucas Cini 18. Mommo E. 99. Sejdiu A. 66. Selander R.	1. Craninx A. (G) 44. Bashkirov E. 2. Dahlstrom B. 24. Gnanou R. 3. Heiskanen S. 28. Kabashi A. 10. Latonen J. 40. Ojala J. 42. Olufunwa O. 11. Vauhkonen E. 7. Vayrynen T.
Substitutes
16. Bulgakov D. 3. Friberg N. 21. Jalasvaara A. 12. Lepola A. (G) 17. Multanen K. 19. Okyere A. 30. Purosalo V. 13. Sallinen O. 2. Talo N.	20. Atarah A. 30. Gunes O. 9. Hafstad D. 33. Heikari S. 21. Lappalainen E. 25. Tynkkynen J. (G) 6. Woivalin H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Gianini Dantas N. ⚽,
34', Mommo E. 🟨,
37', Latonen J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Vayrynen T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
61', Kabashi A. ↓, Woivalin H. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Da Sylva J. ⚽,
66', Latonen J. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
66', Lucas Cini ↓, Bulgakov D. ↑,
68', Olufunwa O. 🟨,
73', Selander R. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
73', Lucas Cini ↓, Bulgakov D. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
87', Dahlstrom B. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Multanen K. ⚽,
89', Da Sylva J. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
89', Sejdiu A. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Olufunwa O. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
90+2', Sallinen O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Haka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Haka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.05.25	Haka - VPS Vaasa	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	Haka - Union Plaani	6:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.25	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:0 ✺
16.05.25	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
09.05.25	Ilves - Haka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.06.25	Gnistan - Ilves	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	Gnistan - Ilves	3:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.05.25	FF Jaro - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Gnistan - SJK	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Oulu - Gnistan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.25	Haka - Gnistan	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
23.02.25	Haka - Gnistan	2:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.10.24	Haka - Gnistan	4:3 penalties
28.07.24	Haka - Gnistan	1:2
05.05.24	Gnistan - Haka	0:3
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Gnistan - Haka	1:1
Finnish Ykkonen
08.09.17	Gnistan - Haka	1:1

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