Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Halesowen Town		Biggleswade Town

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.1
	1.67	3.75	4.3
	1.75	4.34	3.65
	1.76	4.2	3.85
	1.68	3.7	4.31
	1.67	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	4.09 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
54%

Draw
23.6%

Biggleswade Town
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halesowen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Halesowen Town - Biggleswade Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Donnelly K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
72', 2 - 0, Ponticelli J. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Tee C. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Onyeagwara O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Halesowen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Biggleswade Town is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Halesowen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Halesowen to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Halesowen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Halesowen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Halesowen Town	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
09.11.24	Halesowen Town - Sudbury Town	3:1 ✺
05.11.24	Lowestoft Town - Halesowen Town	0:5 ✺
02.11.24	Halesowen Town - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Halesowen Town - Congleton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW
- Biggleswade Town
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Coleshill Town - Biggleswade Town	4:5 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
09.11.24	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Banbury United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.04.19	Biggleswade Town - Halesowen Town	1:0
25.08.18	Halesowen Town - Biggleswade Town	1:1

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