Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Stourbridge		Biggleswade Town

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.7	4.2
	1.61	3.8	4.6
	1.64	3.98	4.37
	1.62	3.75	4.67
	1.61	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)	3.81 ↓ (3.94)	4.49 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
55.9%

Draw
23.8%

Biggleswade Town
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

15.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stourbridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Biggleswade Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 4.

Recent matches Stourbridge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Biggleswade Town is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stourbridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Biggleswade Town have a series of home games.

In this match Stourbridge is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:9 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Stourbridge won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:4 (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.24	Kettering Town - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5 ✺
15.10.24	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	1:4 ✺
12.10.24	Stourbridge - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Biggleswade Town
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Banbury United	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	St Ives Town - Biggleswade Town	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Stratford Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
08.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Alfreton Town	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.03.22	Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge	1:3
20.11.21	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	2:0
03.10.20	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	2:2
28.12.19	Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge	1:2
09.02.19	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	2:0
27.11.18	Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge	1:2
English Southern Premier League
18.03.14	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	2:1

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