Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Biggleswade Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.5	3.1
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.97	3.7	3.26
	2.02	3.66	3.37
	1.98	3.48	3.26
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.24)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	3.27 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biggleswade Town
46.4%

Draw
25.7%

Hitchin Town
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biggleswade Town's performance.

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hitchin Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biggleswade Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Babaie C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, Tearle K. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 2.

Biggleswade Town is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hitchin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hitchin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hitchin have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Biggleswade Town won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:20 (average 1.8:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
02.11.24	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Banbury United	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	St Ives Town - Biggleswade Town	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Biggleswade Town - Stratford Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLL
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
02.11.24	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	2:5 ✺
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5 ✺
15.10.24	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Hitchin Town - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.02.22	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	1:0
06.11.21	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	0:0
26.12.19	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	2:0
26.12.18	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	0:2
27.08.18	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	1:1
English Southern Premier League
13.01.18	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	0:1
26.08.17	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	2:1

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