Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 19

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	St Ives Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.68
	2.27	3.5	2.67
	2.24	3.66	2.80	Watch
	2.29	3.34	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)	3.44 ↓ (3.66)	2.7 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Ives Town
39.9%

Draw
26.5%

Leiston
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Ives Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

St Ives Town - Leiston Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. St Ives will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Sayer H. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Mills A. ⚽,
66', 0 - 3, Blois R. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Richens M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Ives won 1.

In recent matches, St Ives has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leiston's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St Ives may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, St Ives won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, St Ives won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

St Ives Town - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.46%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Leiston - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.11.25	St Ives Town - Redditch United	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Sudbury Town - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	St Ives Town - Needham Market	2:2 ✺
10.11.25	St Ives Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Spalding United - St Ives Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLTWW
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
22.11.25	Stratford Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Leiston - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Leiston - Stamford	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Worcester City - Leiston	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Leiston - St Ives Town	2:2
11.02.25	Leiston - St Ives Town	2:2
16.11.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3
06.01.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	5:0
12.09.23	Leiston - St Ives Town	1:1
28.01.23	Leiston - St Ives Town	1:0
13.09.22	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:2

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