Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Spalding United		Leiston

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.25	5.5
	1.48	4.52	5.82	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.75
	1.44	4.15	6.02
	1.47	4.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)	4.21 ↓ (4.36)	5.77 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
62.6%

Draw
21.6%

Leiston
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

20.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Spalding United - Leiston Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Thompson C. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, McCammon J. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, McCammon J. ⚽,
30', 3 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 1, Sembie-Ferris D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 8).

Spalding is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leiston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Spalding is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Spalding will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Redditch United - Spalding United	0:7 ✺
25.11.25	Spalding United - Bury Town	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Spalding United - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
18.11.25	Spalding United - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Halesowen Town - Spalding United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWT
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Leiston - Real Bedford	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Stratford Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Leiston - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Leiston - Stamford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.02.25	Leiston - Spalding United	2:1
22.10.24	Spalding United - Leiston	1:2

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