Match Info

Date: 25 November 2020, Wednesday


	Hamilton Academical		Aberdeen

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.55
	5.75	4	1.55
	6.2	3.9	1.55
	5.8	3.85	1.55
	6.46	4.12	1.58
	6.5	3.8	1.55
	5.75	4.05	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (5.85)	3.96 ↓ (4.09)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
15.4%

Draw
23.9%

Aberdeen
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

23.1%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

13.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aberdeen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.6%	5.6%	63.9%

Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aberdeen: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Premiership (Championship Group)).

Hamilton has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Aberdeen has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Aberdeen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hamilton have a series of guest games.

In this match Aberdeen is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 14-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
New Zealand Premiership
21.11.20	Hamilton Academical - Auckland City	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
21.11.20	Dundee United - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
New Zealand Premiership
14.11.20	Hawkes Bay United - Hamilton Academical	0:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
14.11.20	Hamilton Academical - Albion Rovers	Hamilton awarded ✺
11.11.20	Stranraer - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLW?L
- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
22.11.20	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	4:0 ✺
06.11.20	Aberdeen - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
01.11.20	Celtic - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
25.10.20	Aberdeen - Celtic	3:3 ✺
20.10.20	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
20.10.20	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	4:2
11.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen	1:3
14.12.19	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	1:0
30.10.19	Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen	0:1
27.02.19	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	0:2
23.01.19	Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen	0:3
31.10.18	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	3:0

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