Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 4

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)


	Hamilton Academical		St. Mirren 2

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.33	5.3	7.1
	1.33	5.15	7.09
	1.00	13.03	25.00	Watch
	1.32	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)	6.7 ↑ (5.55)	10.74 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
76.7%

Draw
14.4%

St. Mirren 2
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

16.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamilton Academical's performance.

St. Mirren 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Hamilton Academical - St. Mirren 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, O'Hara K. ⚽, Shaw O. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Shaw O. ⚽, Hutton A. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Shaw O. ⚽, Herd J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 3 - 1, Lavery J. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Hamilton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hamilton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hamilton is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
20.09.25	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
06.09.25	East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical	2:4 ✺
Scottish League One
30.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Edinburgh City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTL
- St. Mirren 2
Scottish Challenge Cup
06.09.25	Annan Athletic - St. Mirren 2	2:2 ✺
26.08.25	Alloa Athletic - St. Mirren 2	2:3 ✺
12.08.25	Dumbarton - St. Mirren 2	4:2 ✺
30.07.24	Berwick Rangers - St. Mirren 2	2:3 ✺
01.08.23	St. Mirren 2 - Albion Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWLWL

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