Match Info

Championship - Round 35

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Referee: Snedden I. (Sco)


	Hamilton Academical		Livingston

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.53	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.62
	5.4	4	1.57
	5.5	4.42	1.54
	5.57	4.2	1.54
	5	3.6	1.65
	5.82	4.02	1.63	Watch
	5.4	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (4.49)	3.94 ↑ (3.81)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
17.5%

Draw
23.6%

Livingston
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.4%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hamilton Academical - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Livingston will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Livingston (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Livingston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lyness D. (G) 6. McGowan D. 5. McGinty S. (C) 15. Lamie R. 11. Bradley S. 16. MacDonald K. 33. Hendrie S. 14. Maguire B. 19. Shaw O. 17. Robinson S. 18. Todorov N.	28. Prior J. (G) 12. Brandon J. (C) 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 11. Fraser R. 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 10. Kelly S. 15. Smith L. 23. Muirhead R. 26. Montano C.
Substitutes
1. Albinson C. (G) 10. Barjonas J. 30. Gallacher T. 7. Henderson E. 4. Kilday L. 3. Longridge J. 24. McKinstry S. 9. O'Hara K. 13. Smith C.	3. Clarke M. 19. Finlayson D. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 40. Lawal S. 17. May S. 6. McAlear R. 21. Nottingham M. 22. Shinnie A. 9. Yengi T.
Coaches
Rankin J.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Fraser R. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Muirhead R. (Pen),
34', Robinson S. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Muirhead R. ⚽,
45+1', Muirhead R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McGinty S. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
46', Maguire B. ↓, Barjonas J. ↑,
46', Todorov N. ↓, Gallacher T. ↑,
46', Muirhead R. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
46', Fraser R. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Yengi T. ⚽,
53', Pittman S. ↓, May S. ↑,
60', Hendrie S. ↓, Longridge J. ↑,
63', Brandon J. ↓, Finlayson D. ↑,
63', McGowan R. ↓, Nottingham M. ↑,
79', Robinson S. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,

Preview

Hamilton is Relegated to League One

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 1.

Recent matches Hamilton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Livingston is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hamilton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Livingston is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:29 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
19.04.25	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Partick Thistle - Hamilton Academical	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Ayr United - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 TWWLT
- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
18.04.25	Livingston - Ayr United	5:0 ✺
12.04.25	Greenock Morton - Livingston	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Livingston - Queens Park	3:0 ✺
02.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
30.03.25	Queens Park - Livingston	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
25.01.25	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	3:0
09.11.24	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	1:3
14.09.24	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	3:0
Scottish League Cup
22.07.23	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
13.03.21	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	2:1
23.12.20	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	0:2
12.09.20	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	1:2

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