Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Hamilton Academical		Motherwell

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.45
	2.88	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.34
	3.07	3.43	2.44
	3	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.92	3.48	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	3.34 ↓ (3.37)	2.4 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
32.4%

Draw
28.3%

Motherwell
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

22.2%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamilton Academical that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motherwell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamilton Academical - Motherwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Hamilton has a good chance of relegated (86%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Motherwell has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Hamilton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Motherwell is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hamilton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 39-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Premier League
10.04.21	Hamilton Academical - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
03.04.21	Hamilton Academical - St. Mirren	0:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
20.03.21	Hamilton Academical - St. Mirren	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLT
- Motherwell FC
Scottish Cup
16.04.21	Motherwell - Greenock Morton	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
10.04.21	Motherwell - St. Mirren	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
03.04.21	Formartine United - Motherwell	0:5 ✺
Scottish Premier League
20.03.21	Kilmarnock - Motherwell	4:1 ✺
06.03.21	Motherwell - Livingston	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
13.02.21	Motherwell - Hamilton Academical	1:4
02.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Motherwell	3:0
22.08.20	Motherwell - Hamilton Academical	0:1
22.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Motherwell	0:0
29.12.19	Motherwell - Hamilton Academical	1:2
24.08.19	Hamilton Academical - Motherwell	1:3
20.04.19	Hamilton Academical - Motherwell	1:1

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