Match Info

SCOTLAND: Scottish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)


	St. Johnstone		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	5.5
	1.43	4.4	5.5
	1.45	4.3	5.8
	1.47	4.26	6
	1.48	4.49	6	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.55	6.59
	1.45	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	4.35 ↓ (4.46)	5.96 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
63.4%

Draw
21.1%

Hamilton Academical
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Johnstone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-2%)

St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fisher A. (G) 23. Sprangler S. (C) 2. Mikulic B. 4. Balodis D. 37. Curtis S. 44. Watt E. 8. Svedberg J. 14. Wright D. 19. Steven T. 27. Kirk M. 6. Griffith V.	21. Lyness D. (G) 5. McGinty S. (C) 6. McGowan D. 15. Lamie R. 11. Bradley S. 14. Maguire B. 13. Smith C. 16. MacDonald K. 33. Hendrie S. 9. O'Hara K. 18. Todorov N.
Substitutes
11. Carey G. 10. Clark N. 21. Duke-McKenna S. 46. Franczak F. 7. Holt J. 5. Mitchell Z. 16. Sidibeh A. 20. Sinclair R. (G)	1. Albinson C. (G) 10. Barjonas J. 30. Gallacher T. 7. Henderson E. 3. Longridge J. 24. McKinstry S. 19. Shaw O. 22. Tumilty R.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Rankin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Watt E. 🟨,
45', MacDonald K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Curtis S. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
55', Hendrie S. 🟨,
59', O'Hara K. ↓, Shaw O. ↑,
59', Lamie R. ↓, Tumilty R. ↑,
59', Todorov N. ↓, McKinstry S. ↑,
59', Hendrie S. ↓, Longridge J. ↑,
65', Svedberg J. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
84', Bradley S. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
85', Kirk M. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
85', Griffith V. ↓, Clark N. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Sidibeh A. ⚽, Carey G. (A),
89', Steven T. ↓, Mitchell Z. ↑,
90+6', Longridge J. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Canaria won 4.

Recent matches Gran Canaria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Andorra is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gran Canaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gran Canaria is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gran Canaria won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1674:1628 (average 83.7:81.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Gran Canaria won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 830:811 (average 83:81.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Premier League
01.02.25	St. Mirren - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	St. Johnstone - Motherwell	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	St. Johnstone - Motherwell	1:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
12.01.25	Glasgow Rangers - St. Johnstone	3:1 ✺
05.01.25	St. Johnstone - Dundee	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLL
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
01.02.25	Hamilton Academical - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	0:3 ✺
25.01.25	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Hamilton Academical - Musselburgh Athletic	3:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
10.01.25	Hamilton Academical - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
03.03.21	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	1:1
30.12.20	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	0:0
17.10.20	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	3:5
26.12.19	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	0:1
26.10.19	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	3:2
18.05.19	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	2:0
06.02.19	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	2:1

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