Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Hammarby		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2
	3.15	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3.05	3.5	2.03
	3.26	3.63	2.16
	3.1	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.13	3.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.42)	3.58 ↑ (3.36)	2.07 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
29.4%

Draw
25.9%

Lech Poznań
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

19.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hammarby's form might have worsened.

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hammarby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Hammarby - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 36 - 57.1%). Lech will win (votes: 18 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 44.9% – 69.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hammarby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.20	Hammarby - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
10.09.20	IFK Göteborg - Hammarby	0:4 ✺
30.08.20	Hammarby - Kalmar	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Hammarby - Puskás Academy	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.08.20	Sirius - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWL
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.09.20	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	3:3 ✺
30.08.20	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Lech Poznań - Valmiera	3:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.08.20	Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
15.08.20	Odra Opole - Lech Poznań	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWLW

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