Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: 3Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Norway	VG+
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
World	Onefootball


	Hammarby		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	1.85	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.86	3.57	4.35
	2.13	3.22	3.44	Watch
	1.94	3.66	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.34)	3.5 ↑ (3.31)	3.86 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
49%

Draw
26.8%

Rosenborg
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hammarby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	28.6%	10.7%

Hammarby - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hammarby (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hammarby (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hahn W. (G) 17. Fofana I. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 19. Pinas S. 8. Karlsson M. 5. Tekie T. 20. Besara N. (C) 26. Madjed M. 9. Erabi J. 18. Tounekti S.	1. Tangvik S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 38. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 6. Vaananen S. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 7. Nordli S. 45. Reitan-Sunde J. 39. Islamovic D. 9. Saeter O.
Substitutes
7. Abraham P. 25. Fischerstrom Opancar E. (G) 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 11. Johansson O. 28. Junior Adjei F. 29. Kabore M. 13. Karlsson J. 15. Lahdo A. 22. Ortmark J. 2. Skoglund H. 21. Strand S. 6. Vagic P.	35. Ceide E. K. 8. Fossum I. 18. Holm N. 23. Jenssen U. 15. Mortensen J. 4. Racic L. 2. Reitan E. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 24. Sorum H. (G) 50. Volden H. 5. Zeidan M.
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Nemcik T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Winther F. 🟨,
58', Saeter O. ↓, Ceide E. K. ↑,
58', Saeter O. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽, Selnaes O. (A),
68', Fofana I. ↓, Skoglund H. ↑,
68', Winther F. ↓, Vagic P. ↑,
68', Tekie T. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
74', Nordli S. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,
74', Madjed M. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
83', Besara N. ↓, Abraham P. ↑,
84', Pinas S. 🟨,
89', Islamovic D. 🟨,
90+1', Pereira A. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
90+2', Vagic P. 🟨,
90+3', Tounekti S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Hammarby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hammarby has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hammarby is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hammarby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.25	Norrköping - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Rosenborg - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
31.07.25	Charleroi - Hammarby	1:2 ET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	Värnamo - Hammarby	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Hammarby - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWWT
- Rosenborg BK
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Rosenborg - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.08.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Rosenborg	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Banga Gargždai - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.25	Rosenborg - Tromsø	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Rosenborg - Banga Gargždai	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Rosenborg - Hammarby	0:0

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