Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Hampton & Richmond Borough		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.35	3.45	2.75
	2.22	3.56	2.94	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.7
	2.42	3.38	2.63
	2.35	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.06)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.75 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hampton & Richmond Borough
39.6%

Draw
27%

Spennymoor Town
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hampton & Richmond Borough's form might have worsened.

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spennymoor Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hampton & Richmond Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hampton & Richmond Borough - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Taylor G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, Taylor G. ⚽,
90+8', Roberts J. 🟥,

Preview

Hampton & Richmond is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Spennymoor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Hampton & Richmond have a series of home games.

Hampton & Richmond will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
26.12.24	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Slough Town	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	3:2 ✺
10.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hashtag United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWTW
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
01.01.25	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Spennymoor Town - South Shields	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Oxford City - Spennymoor Town	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWW

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