Match Info

National League North - Round 11

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Alfreton Town		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.3	3.25	2.08
	3.51	3.23	2.06
	3.51	3.56	1.96	Watch
	3.57	3.32	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.51)	3.31 ↓ (3.56)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
26.8%

Draw
27.7%

Spennymoor Town
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.1%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Spennymoor will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alfreton (votes: 1 - 50%). Spennymoor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Taylor G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, Beck M. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Fewster B. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Spennymoor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.2:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
08.11.25	Alfreton Town - Fylde	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Chorley - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Buxton - Alfreton Town	6:0 ✺
21.10.25	Alfreton Town - Chester	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWTLL
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
08.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Barrow	0:2 ✺
English National League North
25.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.02.25	Spennymoor Town - Alfreton Town	3:1
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	0:1
English National League North
22.10.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	0:1
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	1:0
English National League North
13.04.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1
05.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Alfreton Town	2:1
28.03.23	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	3:2

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