Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 22

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+


	Hamrun Spartans		Żabbar St. Patrick

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.75	8.6
	1.25	5.12	10.65	Watch
	1.33	4.4	8.5
	1.38	4.57	7.11
	1.26	4.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)	4.67 ↑ (4.43)	8.67 ↑ (7.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
69.9%

Draw
19.6%

Żabbar St. Patrick
10.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.6%

20.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.6%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Hamrun Spartans - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Żabbar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Hamrun (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1 - Żabbar (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 2 - 50%). Żabbar (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 7. Attard S. 31. Bulevardi D. 30. Eleke B. 8. Garcia M. 6. Guillaumier M. 93. Inzoudine Y. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 5. Xerri S.	99. Djalo M. (G) 11. Agius N. 9. Cejas P. 8. Figueiredo B. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 71. Pisani J. 55. Scicluna K.
Substitutes
14. Borg E. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 32. Carboni M. 4. Cassar J. 98. Celio (G) 25. Ederson 91. Emerson 55. Hili K. 49. Jonny 17. Serber K.	1. Colombo I. (G) 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 5. Forte M. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 20. Micallef L. 18. Mota L. 23. Polidano Z. 30. Scicluna R. 7. Soldo M.
Coaches
Modica G.	Parisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Xerri S. 🟨,
39', Rafael Compri ↓, Emerson ↑,
40', Bulevardi D. 🟨,
40', Cejas P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Mbong J. ↓, Jonny ↑,
59', Eleke B. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
63', Agius N. ↓, Mota L. ↑,
64', Djalo M. 🟥,
66', Majok A. ↓, Colombo I. ↑,
75', Garcia M. 🟨,
78', Cejas P. ↓, Scicluna R. ↑,
78', Inzoudine Y. ↓, Ederson ↑,
78', Figueiredo B. ↓, Im Y. W. ↑,
85', Colombo I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

Hamrun is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Żabbar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Żabbar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hamrun is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hamrun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hamrun	10	4	4	2	16:12	4	16
10	Zabbar ✔	10	3	2	5	12:16	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Super Cup
10.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	1:2 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:0 ✺
03.02.26	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Fgura United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTWW
- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
07.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Floriana	0:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
23.01.26	Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
16.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
09.02.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
Maltese FA Trophy
05.02.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Hamrun Spartans	1:2
Maltese Premier League
18.08.24	Hamrun Spartans - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1

Hamrun Spartans - Żabbar St. Patrick