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Current Win Probability
Paola Hibernians 13.9%
Draw 21.4%
Hamrun Spartans 64.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.3%
20.3%
65.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.2%
20.4%
65.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
10%
70%
Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hibernians will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hamrun will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hamrun: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Branescu L. (G) 22. Bonnici D. 6. Caruana L. 27. Cleiton 13. Diakite 23. Ellul M. 18. Halabaku K. 7. Hernandez R. 44. Pedrao 5. Shaw K. (C) 14. Xuereb D.
1. Bonello H. (C) 7. Attard S. 27. Bjelicic O. 31. Bulevardi D. 94. Camenzuli R. 91. Emerson 6. Guillaumier M. 49. Jonny 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 5. Xerri S.
Substitutes
19. Abela L. 88. Akinbule S. 4. Alfred S. 2. Attard C. 24. Camilleri C. (G) 8. Debattista M. 70. Lima M. 20. Muscat D. 30. Sacco H. (G) 15. Vella D. 16. Zammit A.
33. Bonello M. 14. Borg E. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 32. Carboni M. 4. Cassar J. 98. Celio (G) 25. Ederson 30. Eleke B. 47. El Fanis M. 23. Hili K. 17. Serber K.
Coaches
Nisevic B.
Modica G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Jonny 🟨,
16', Diakite 🟨,
23', Cleiton 🟨,
45+2', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
45+3', Hernandez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Mbong J. ⚽,
58', Attard S. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
58', Bulevardi D. ↓, Ederson ↑,
63', Caruana L. ↓, Alfred S. ↑,
63', Cleiton ↓, Akinbule S. ↑,
63', Halabaku K. ↓, Lima M. ↑,
74', Pedrao ↓, Attard C. ↑,
81', Bonnici D. ↓, Abela L. ↑,
86', Jonny ↓, Eleke B. ↑,
86', Mbong J. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 2.
Hibernians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hamrun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Hibernians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.
In this match, Hamrun is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Hibernians won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.1:2).
Malta
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Branescu L. (G) 
Bonnici D. 
Caruana L. 
Cleiton 
Diakite 
Halabaku K. 
Hernandez R. 
Bjelicic O. 
Bulevardi D. 
Akinbule S. 
Lima M. 
Bonello M. 
El Fanis M. 
Serber K. 
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