Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Torvalla idrottsplats (Haninge)


	Haninge		Gefle

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.3
	2.05	3.65	3.15
	2.06	3.68	3.23
	2.09	3.68	3.18	Watch
	2.02	3.65	3.19	Watch
	2.05	3.65	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	3.64 ↓ (3.98)	3.2 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haninge
45.7%

Draw
25.4%

Gefle
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

23.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

22.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haninge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haninge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Haninge - Gefle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gefle (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gefle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alpek C. (G) 2. Beko S. 14. Bouvin M. 11. Dibba P. (C) 5. Ismail D. 18. Josefsson D. 8. Kass Kawo O. 23. Lindkvist R. 22. Miguel W. 16. Tuhral A. 10. Zengin E.	27. Strindlund V. (G) 13. Berggren M. 21. Beronius L. 4. Hansemon T. 5. Lundvall L. 10. Mokede M. 15. Nezirevic A. 16. Persson K. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.
Substitutes
7. Andue A. 9. Hamidovic E. 4. Id Salem A. 25. Kawawa K. (G) 12. Lenerius L. 15. Pelenda C. 21. Rajamohan A.	24. Ekman P. 7. Gibrill During A. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 18. Hiekkanen E. 8. Karlsson O. 6. Shino Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haninge won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Haninge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Haninge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Haninge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Haninge
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.05.25	Stocksund - Haninge	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Haninge - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Haninge - Arlanda	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Stockholm Internazionale - Haninge	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Haninge - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWWW
- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.05.25	Karlberg - Gefle	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Gefle - AFC Eskilstuna	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Gefle - Stocksund	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Sollentuna - Gefle	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Gefle - Vasalund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
10.09.22	Haninge - Gefle	0:2
23.06.22	Gefle - Haninge	3:2
02.10.21	Haninge - Gefle	1:2
15.05.21	Gefle - Haninge	1:1
07.10.20	Haninge - Gefle	1:4
27.06.20	Gefle - Haninge	1:2

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