Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 24

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Gefle		Vasalund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.75
	2.28	3.46	2.78
	2.27	3.63	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.7
	2.23	3.36	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.37)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	2.77 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
40.6%

Draw
26.5%

Vasalund
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gefle - Vasalund Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. 2. Larsson E. (C) 10. Mokede M. 16. Nehrman R. 19. Sipic A. 18. Spangberg M. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.	1. Olafsson S. (G) 7. Amos P. 21. Bajrovic M. (C) 2. Kallman L. 8. Lundstrom J. 6. Lundvall L. 10. Nikolic M. 28. Ostergren M. 12. Torppa E. 20. Vucenovic M. 26. Westin T.
Substitutes
6. Edman I. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 23. Lundstrom N. 3. Myrttinen K. 15. Nezirevic A. 24. Persson K. 77. Zulum S.	24. Bilgec B. 18. Birgoth N. 23. Gentele T. 15. Lukic F. 9. Mac Callum E. 30. Stattin I. (G) 16. Tadayon K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torppa E. ↓, Lukic F. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Bajrovic M. ⚽, Nikolic M. (A),
53', Lundstrom J. 🟨,
60', Westin T. 🟨,
64', Spangberg M. ↓, Nezirevic A. ↑,
79', Amos P. ↓, Mac Callum E. ↑,
89', Sipic A. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
89', Vucenovic M. ↓, Birgoth N. ↑,
90+5', Nikolic M. ↓, Bilgec B. ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 13th in the Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 1.

In recent outings, Gefle has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vasalund is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Gefle has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:17 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gefle against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30
12	Vasalund	25	7	6	12	36:52	-16	27

Last Results with these Odds

Gefle - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Gefle - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sollentuna - Gefle	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gefle - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLT
- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
21.09.26	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	1:5 ✺
17.09.26	Vasalund - Hammarby TFF	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Vasalund	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vasalund - Enköping	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Umeå - Vasalund	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.05.26	Vasalund - Gefle	1:0
10.08.25	Vasalund - Gefle	4:1
18.04.25	Gefle - Vasalund	1:2
06.11.22	Gefle - Vasalund	1:1
18.06.22	Vasalund - Gefle	0:1
31.10.20	Gefle - Vasalund	1:3
15.07.20	Vasalund - Gefle	2:0

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