Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena (Hannover)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hannover		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.82	3.75	3.75
	1.92	3.93	4.08
	1.87	3.61	3.95	Watch
	1.89	3.68	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	3.93 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
50.5%

Draw
25.4%

Arminia Bielefeld
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Arminia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Noll N. (G) 20. Okon I. 3. Tomiak B. 5. Ghita V. 27. Matsuda H. 8. Leopold E. (C) 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 33. Neubauer M. 14. Chakroun H. 9. Kallman B. 10. Rochelt J.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 3. Felix J. 19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 21. Russo S. 14. Momuluh T. 10. Mehlem M. 6. Corboz M. (C) 38. Worl M. 11. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
4. Blank H. 19. Kokolo W. 6. Nawrocki M. 16. Nielsen H. 29. Oudenne K. 13. Roggow F. 26. Taibi W. 30. Weinkauf L. (G) 18. Yokota D.	27. Boakye B. 7. Kania J. 20. Micheler F. 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 23. Schneider L. 8. Schreck S. 17. Sicker A. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Titz C.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Okon I. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Felix J. ⚽, Momuluh T. (A),
44', Tomiak B. (Pen),
45+5', Mehlem M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Russo S. ↓, Schneider L. ↑,
52', Leopold E. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Chakroun H. ⚽, Noll N. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Matsuda H. ⚽,
62', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
63', Mehlem M. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
64', Ghita V. 🟨,
65', Chakroun H. ↓, Yokota D. ↑,
78', Worl M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
78', Kallman B. ↓, Nielsen H. ↑,
79', Leopold E. ↓, Roggow F. ↑,
79', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
83', Lannert C. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Tomiak B. (Pen),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 2.

Hannover is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arminia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arminia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hannover is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Hannover: Bundu M. (Ankle Injury) Pichler B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Boakye B. (Muscle Injury) Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. (Muscle Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Worl M. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hannover won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Dynamo Dresden - Hannover	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Hannover - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Hamburger SV - Hannover	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
22.04.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	1:3
15.10.22	Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
23.02.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	1:0
Club Friendly
10.10.19	Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
14.09.19	Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2

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