Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	15:00	Fast Sports
Australia	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Canada	07:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	07:00	Disney+
Colombia	06:00	Disney+
Croatia	13:00	SportKlub 4
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
Hong Kong	19:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	13:00	Arena 4
Iceland	11:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	18:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	13:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	13:00	Viaplay
Peru	06:00	Disney+
Philippines	19:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	13:00	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	14:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	13:00	Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 4
Singapore	19:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	13:00	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Thailand	18:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	14:00	Tivibu Spor 1
Uruguay	08:00	Disney+
Usa	07:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:00	Disney+
International	11:00	Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Hannover

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.5
	2.4	3.5	2.62
	2.5	3.61	2.84
	2.47	3.64	2.61	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.43	3.74	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.66)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)	2.63 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
38.1%

Draw
26.1%

Hannover
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

25.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

Holstein Kiel - Hannover Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Hannover will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Holstein Kiel (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Hannover (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 3 - 75%). Hannover (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Krumrey J. (G) 26. Zec D. 5. Johansson C. 3. Komenda M. 11. Bernhardsson A. 24. Knudsen M. 39. Wagner R. 47. Tolkin J. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.	1. Noll N. (G) 20. Okon I. 3. Tomiak B. 5. Ghita V. 27. Matsuda H. 8. Leopold E. (C) 33. Neubauer M. 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 7. Bundu M. 11. Pichler B. 10. Rochelt J.
Substitutes
15. Davidsen K. 6. Ivezic M. 20. Kapralik A. 25. Muller M. 13. Nekic I. 29. Niehoff N. 23. Rosenboom L. 22. Schwab S. 1. Weiner T. (G)	17. Allgeier B. 4. Blank H. 14. Chakroun H. 9. Kallman B. 29. Oudenne K. 13. Roggow F. 26. Taibi W. 30. Weinkauf L. (G) 18. Yokota D.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Titz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Harres P. ⚽, Tolkin J. (A),
38', Knudsen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Knudsen M. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
46', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
60', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
60', Rochelt J. ↓, Yokota D. ↑,
60', Pichler B. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
62', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Ghita V. ⚽, Leopold E. (A),
69', 1 - 2, Kallman B. ⚽,
70', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
70', Therkelsen J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
75', Okon I. 🟨,
76', Okon I. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
79', Tomiak B. 🟨,
79', Neubauer M. 🟨,
80', Wagner R. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
84', Bundu M. ↓, Roggow F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.

Holstein Kiel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hannover is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hannover: Chakroun H. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Homburg - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Energie Cottbus - Hannover	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Hannover - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Hannover - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.05.24	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	1:2
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	2:3
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	3:0
Club Friendly
07.07.23	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
28.05.23	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	1:5
11.11.22	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	1:1
25.02.22	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	2:0

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