Match Info

3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Hansa Rostock		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.88
	2.31	3.61	2.99
	1.93	3.72	3.48	Watch
	2.21	3.42	2.97	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.8)	3.58 ↓ (3.8)	3.17 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
44.1%

Draw
26.2%

Energie Cottbus
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hansa Rostock's form might have worsened.

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Energie Cottbus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hansa Rostock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Energie Cottbus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Cottbus will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cottbus: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hansa Rostock (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cottbus (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Cottbus (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hansa Rostock (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Cottbus (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 23. Pfanne F. 17. Carstens F. 4. Fatkic K. 7. Neidhart N. 42. Dietze B. 5. Schuster M. 33. Bergh V. 35. Krauss M. 8. Harenbrock C. 20. Naderi R.	33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 2. Manu K. S. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 20. Borgmann A. 8. Michelbrink L. 10. Cigerci T. 5. Pelivan D. 11. Hannemann M. 7. Thiele T. 18. Engelhardt E.
Substitutes
36. Bock F. 6. Dirkner J. 30. Hagemoser M. (G) 11. Holten E. 44. Krohn T. 19. Mejdr J. 22. Reichardt L. 10. Stock P. 9. Voglsammer A.	37. Biankadi M. 19. Boziaris J. 31. Butler J. 4. Campulka T. 24. Lucoqui A. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 25. Tattermusch T.
Coaches
Brinkmann D.	Wollitz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Hannemann M. ⚽, Michelbrink L. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Naderi R. ⚽, Harenbrock C. (A),
45+2', Borgmann A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Thiele T. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
62', Hannemann M. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
62', Naderi R. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
62', Dietze B. ↓, Dirkner J. ↑,
64', Awortwie-Grant N. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Engelhardt E. ⚽, Moustfa C. Y. (A),
78', Krauss M. ↓, Krohn T. ↑,
78', Harenbrock C. ↓, Stock P. ↑,
79', 🟨,
82', Engelhardt E. ↓, Lucoqui A. ↑,
82', Fatkic K. ↓, Voglsammer A. ↑,
90+1', Cigerci T. ↓, Tattermusch T. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Moustfa C. Y. ⚽, Borgmann A. (A),
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 1.

In recent matches, Hansa Rostock has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cottbus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hansa Rostock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hansa Rostock might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hansa Rostock won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Hansa Rostock - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
17.09.25	Hansa Rostock - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWTL
- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
26.09.25	Energie Cottbus - VfB Stuttgart II	5:0 ✺
21.09.25	Verl - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Energie Cottbus	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.25	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	1:3
15.12.24	Energie Cottbus - Hansa Rostock	3:1
22.12.18	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	0:2
29.07.18	Energie Cottbus - Hansa Rostock	3:0
27.02.16	Energie Cottbus - Hansa Rostock	0:1
11.09.15	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	1:1
16.05.15	Hansa Rostock - Energie Cottbus	0:1

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