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Current Win Probability
Energie Cottbus 54.3%
Draw 23.5%
Erzgebirge Aue 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
24.4%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
23.5%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
7.1%
0%
Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Users Predictions:
Energie Cottbus will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Energie Cottbus will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 4. Campulka T. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 10. Cigerci T. 5. Pelivan D. 11. Hannemann M. 19. Boziaris J. 7. Thiele T. 31. Butler J.
1. Mannel M. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 23. Barylla A. 20. Fabisch J. 13. Majetschak E. 24. Ehlers J. 19. Guttau J. 34. Stefaniak M. 39. Schmid M.
Substitutes
15. Duah D. 18. Engelhardt E. 32. Heidrich F. 36. Juckel J. 24. Lucoqui A. 8. Michelbrink L. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 1. Sebald A. (G) 25. Tattermusch T.
8. Clausen M. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 27. Hetzsch F. 38. Kretschmer T. (G) 22. Lord L. (G) 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 11. Uhlmann E. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Wollitz C.
Hartel J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Hannemann M. ⚽, Cigerci T. (A),
12', Pelivan D. 🟨,
14', Malone R. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Guttau J. ⚽, Stefaniak M. (A),
24', Majetschak E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Boziaris J. ↓, Michelbrink L. ↑,
58', Fabisch J. 🟨,
62', Thiele T. ↓, Engelhardt E. ↑,
62', Butler J. ↓, Tattermusch T. ↑,
66', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Cigerci T. (Pen),
68', Hannemann M. ↓, Lucoqui A. ↑,
72', Stefaniak M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
72', Ehlers J. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
73', Fabisch J. ↓, Uhlmann E. ↑,
79', Schmid M. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
79', Majetschak E. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
90+4', Cigerci T. ↓, Juckel J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 2.
Cottbus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aue's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cottbus might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cottbus won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
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Funk M. (G) 
Cigerci T. 
Fallmann P. 
Malone R. 
Fabisch J. 
Lucoqui A. 
Michelbrink L. 
Moustfa C. Y. 
Simnica L. 
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