Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 17 January 2023, Tuesday


	Hapoel Acre		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.35	2.9	2.9
	2.41	3.1	2.65
	2.5	3.01	2.84
	2.43	3.18	2.72
	2.43	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.95)	3.07 ↓ (3.19)	2.75 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Acre
37.6%

Draw
29.5%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Acre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Acre's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Acre than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Acre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hapoel Acre will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Maccabi Nazareth will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Acre: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Acre won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hapoel Acre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hapoel Acre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Hapoel Acre won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Acre won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Acre
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.01.23	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Acre	0:0 ✺
06.01.23	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	3:2 ✺
02.01.23	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
16.12.22	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Acre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLT
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
13.01.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:0 ✺
09.01.23	Ironi Tiberias - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
03.01.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Netanya	0:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Petah Tikva	3:0 ✺
23.12.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
19.09.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	2:0
14.04.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	4:1
30.01.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	1:0
Israeli State Cup
17.12.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	2:1 ET
Israeli Liga Leumit
08.10.21	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:1
25.05.21	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	5:0
30.03.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	3:1

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