Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 30 December 2022, Friday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Maccabi Petah Tikva

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.15	3.2	2.09
	3.95	3.22	1.89
	3.28	3.28	2.07
	3.2	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.51)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	2.05 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
27.2%

Draw
28.5%

Maccabi Petah Tikva
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

22%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Maccabi Petah Tikva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Petah Tikva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Petah Tikva Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Maccabi Nazareth will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Maccabi Petah Tikva will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Petah Tikva: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Maccabi Nazareth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Petah Tikva is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Petah Tikva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nazareth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Nazareth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
23.12.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
16.12.22	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Tzofi Haifa	5:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:3 ✺
11.11.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTWLW
- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
23.12.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:2 ✺
16.12.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	0:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.12.22	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
25.08.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0
Israeli State Cup
11.01.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:3 ET
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.03.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0
29.11.19	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:0

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