Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toto Turner Stadium (Be'er Sheva) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Naal O. (Isr)


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Sektzia Nes Tziona

	1	X	2
	1.18	6	13
	1.2	6.5	11
	1.22	5.6	10.5
	1.18	5.8	12
	1.21	6.56	13.12
	1.19	6.3	12.75	Watch
	1.2	6.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.4)	6.14 ↑ (4.6)	12.2 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
77.3%

Draw
15.1%

Sektzia Nes Tziona
7.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

17.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Beer Sheva's performance.

Sektzia Nes Tziona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sektzia Nes Tziona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Beer Sheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	13.3%	40%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sektzia Nes Tziona Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Sektzia Nes Tziona will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group) and 14 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)).

Hapoel Beer Sheva is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sektzia Nes Tziona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sektzia Nes Tziona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hapoel Beer Sheva is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hapoel Beer Sheva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Beer Sheva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.10.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Lech Poznań - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
01.10.22	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTWW
- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli Ligat haAl
08.10.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Netanya	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	4:3 ✺
10.09.22	Maccabi Haifa - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:1 ✺
04.09.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Beitar Jerusalem	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
09.02.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:0
09.11.19	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
01.11.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	✺

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sektzia Nes Tziona