The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Beer Sheva 37.9%
Draw 28.8%
Lech Poznań 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
28.9%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
28.5%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Beer Sheva's form might have worsened.
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
32.2%
22%
45.8%
Hapoel Beer Sheva - Lech Poznań Predictions
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 19 - 32.2%). Lech will win (votes: 27 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 22%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 33.1% – 58.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Hapoel Beer Sheva has currently - 2, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (41%), has a chance of knockout phase (32%), has a small chance of round of 16 (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lech has currently - 4, has a very small chance of 1st (1%), has a good chance of 2nd (55%), has a chance of 3rd (32%), has a good chance of knockout phase (56%), has a chance of round of 16 (26%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality48, very big importance100, big match rating74. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Hapoel Beer Sheva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lech is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hapoel Beer Sheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lech have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Dadya O.
(Injury)
Safuri R.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Lech: Ba Loua A.
(Injury)
Douglas B.
(Injury)
Salamon B.
(Muscle Injury)
Sousa A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Abaid A.
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Hapoel Beer Sheva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
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