The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Jerusalem 56.4%
Draw 27.6%
Hapoel Afula 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
24%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
77%
19.9%
10%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Jerusalem's form might have worsened.
Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Jerusalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Afula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Afula Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Leumit League (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).
Hapoel Jerusalem is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Hapoel Afula is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hapoel Jerusalem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hapoel Afula have a series of home games.
In this match Hapoel Jerusalem is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Hapoel Jerusalem won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Jerusalem won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.