Match Info

Leumit League - Round 12

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Maccabi Jaffa

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.45
	1.84	4.01	3.59
	1.70	3.90	4.32	Watch
	1.81	3.56	3.72	Watch
	1.69	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	3.88 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
51.6%

Draw
24.7%

Maccabi Jaffa
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

26.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Kiryat Yam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Jaffa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Kiryat Yam (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Maccabi Jaffa (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hapoel Kiryat Yam will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Kiryat Yam (votes: 1 - 50%). Maccabi Jaffa (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Kingsley I. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Kingsley I. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Peretz R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
68', 0 - 4, Itzhak G. ⚽,
81', 0 - 5, Abuhatzira Y. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maccabi Jaffa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maccabi Jaffa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hapoel Kiryat Yam is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
31.10.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Hadera	2:3 ✺
20.10.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
31.10.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Jaffa	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Jaffa	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWL

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