What is the expert prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, August 06, 2026)

Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: DVTK Stadion (Miskolc)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 2
Poland	TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.20
	2.18	3.15	3.25
	2.28	3.28	3.14
	2.15	3.36	3.32	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.31	3.3	3.27	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.99)	3.23 ↓ (3.51)	3.19 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
42.2%

Draw
28.7%

GKS Katowice
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 12 - 60%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Tel Aviv: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tzur A. (G) 97. Coco M. 5. Mayembo F. (C) 4. Chico 16. Leidner D. 98. Falcao 6. Kraev A. 11. Turiel S. 9. Boateng E. 15. Alkoukin R. 51. Altman O.	87. Kobylak G. (G) 6. Klemenz L. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 55. Resta P. 97. Jirka E. 68. Wolski B. 19. Lukasiak K. 8. Galan B. 15. Markovic E. 99. Zrelak A. 27. Nowak B.
Substitutes
18. Archel T. 13. Baranes R. (G) 33. Bazdog Y. (G) 27. Buskila M. 44. Dappa D. 8. Ferber Y. 20. Israelov O. 14. Kancepolsky E. Y. 7. Korine R. 23. Lemkin A. 21. Piven S. 10. Silva X.	31. Bartlewicz S. 30. Czerwinski A. 1. Kikolski M. (G) 21. Kokosinski J. 77. Kowalczyk M. 22. Milewski S. 14. Olsen M. 17. Shkurin I. 23. Wasielewski M. 7. Wdowiak M. 10. Wedrychowski M.
Coaches
Barda E.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Turiel S. ⚽, Altman O. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Alkoukin R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Markovic E. ↓, Bartlewicz S. ↑,
57', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
57', Lukasiak K. ↓, Kowalczyk M. ↑,
66', Leidner D. ↓, Piven S. ↑,
66', Altman O. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
71', Jirka E. ↓, Wasielewski M. ↑,
81', Nowak B. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
81', Alkoukin R. ↓, Lemkin A. ↑,
81', Boateng E. ↓, Dappa D. ↑,
87', Turiel S. ↓, Buskila M. ↑,

Preview

First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - DVTK Stadion.

Hapoel Tel Aviv is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GKS Katowice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hapoel Tel Aviv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hapoel Tel Aviv has had a series of away games.

Hapoel Tel Aviv will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

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Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Tel Aviv - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
23.07.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
18.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Dukla Banská Bystrica - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	DAC Dunajská Streda - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWTW
- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.26	GKS Katowice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	GKS Katowice - Žilina	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.26	Wisła Kraków - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Žilina - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	GKS Katowice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLT

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