Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: DVTK Stadion (Miskolc)

Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Israel	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.20	2.95	2.25
	3.05	3.05	2.28	Watch
	2.94	3.36	2.4
	3.37	3.31	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.35
	3.21	3.39	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
30.3%

Draw
28.9%

Ludogorets Razgrad
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	26.1%	56.5%

Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tzur A. (G) 97. Coco M. 5. Mayembo F. (C) 4. Chico 16. Leidner D. 98. Falcao 6. Kraev A. 11. Turiel S. 9. Boateng E. 10. Silva X. 51. Altman O.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 15. Kurtulus E. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 27. Vinicius Nogueira 12. Rwan Cruz 26. Kaloc F. 20. Camara A. 14. Stanic P. 7. Salido Tajero A. 29. Bile E.
Substitutes
15. Alkoukin R. 18. Archel T. 33. Bazdog Y. (G) 13. Ben Nesher S. (G) 27. Buskila M. 44. Dappa D. 8. Ferber Y. 20. Israelov O. 14. Kancepolsky E. Y. 23. Lemkin A. 21. Piven S. 17. Shavit I.	2. Andersson J. 18. Chochev I. 9. Duah K. 99. Ivanov S. 40. Marinov A. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 67. Panayotov A. (G) 25. Rodriguez E. 42. Shishkov S. 37. Tekpetey B. 24. Verdon O.
Coaches
Barda E.	Reis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Kaloc F. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Altman O. ⚽, Turiel S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Salido Tajero A. ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
63', Rwan Cruz ↓, Duah K. ↑,
63', Kaloc F. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
65', Silva X. ↓, Alkoukin R. ↑,
67', Stanic P. 🟨,
70', Chico 🟨,
76', Kurtulus E. ↓, Nachmias I. ↑,
76', Boateng E. ↓, Dappa D. ↑,
76', Altman O. ↓, Buskila M. ↑,
83', Chochev I. 🟨,
83', Bile E. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
88', Coco M. ↓, Piven S. ↑,
88', Kraev A. ↓, Archel T. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Chico ⚽, Alkoukin R. (A),

Preview

First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - DVTK Stadion.

Hapoel Tel Aviv is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ludogorets is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Hapoel Tel Aviv has had a series of away games.

Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of home games.

Ludogorets might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Toto Cup
18.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Dukla Banská Bystrica - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	DAC Dunajská Streda - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
08.07.26	Zlín - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Tel Aviv	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWWT
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.07.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Teuta Durrës	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botoșani	2:2 ✺
26.06.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWTW

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