Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 20

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Beit Shean

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.68
	2.29	3.22	2.77
	2.33	3.32	2.76	Watch
	2.36	3.13	2.72
	2.33	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.58)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	2.74 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
38.6%

Draw
28.4%

Hapoel Beit Shean
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hapoel Beit Shean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beit Shean than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Beit Shean Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Gabis A. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Bashir B. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Tahaish R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 3, Awouda M. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In recent matches, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Beit Shean is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hapoel Beit Shean has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	4	1	3	0	7:6	1	6
13	Beit Shean	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
05.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2 ✺
13.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLLT
- Hapoel Beit Shean
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTLWW

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