Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Nof HaGalil

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.40	1.87
	3.60	3.35	1.82
	3.57	3.37	1.87
	3.11	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.50	3.30	1.85
	4.12	3.61	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.1)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
25.5%

Draw
26.5%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.2%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Nof HaGalil's recent form is better than expected.

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Gadeban M. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Schloefe J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Ryan A. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nof Hagalil	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
7	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	4	1	3	0	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
05.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLLWW
- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
25.05.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Acre	2:2 ✺
19.05.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Modiin	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
17.04.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:0
17.01.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1
12.09.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:1
17.05.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1
23.02.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1
20.11.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5:2
14.02.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0

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