Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 22

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Karmiel		Hapoel Bnei Araba

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.95	5.7
	1.48	4.25	5.11
	1.47	4.42	5.31	Watch
	1.45	4.15	5.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	4.19 ↑ (3.66)	5.48 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Karmiel
61.8%

Draw
21.6%

Hapoel Bnei Araba
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Karmiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Karmiel's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Araba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Karmiel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Araba than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Bnei Araba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Zicho M. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Div H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13).

In recent matches, Hapoel Karmiel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Bnei Araba is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Bnei Araba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hapoel Karmiel is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Karmiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hapoel Karmiel	8	3	5	0	13:7	6	14
17	Araba	8	1	2	5	5:20	-15	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.02.26	MS Tira - Hapoel Karmiel	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLLW
- Hapoel Bnei Araba
Israeli Liga Alef North
22.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Tzeirey Tamra	0:3 ✺
13.02.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:0 ✺
27.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
31.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1

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