Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 21

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Bnei Musmus

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.45	2.98
	2.43	3.59	2.48	Watch
	2.23	3.44	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.58)	3.49 ↑ (2.98)	2.74 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
40.7%

Draw
26.1%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Musmus than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Musmus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 🟥,
70', 0 - 1, Masarwa S. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Agbaria I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In recent matches, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5	1	4	0	8:7	1	7
12	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
12.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
05.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Nesher	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLL
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israeli Liga Alef North
12.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Tzeirey Tamra	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
18.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Musmus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide