Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 14

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.98
	3.25	3.56	1.98	Watch
	3.76	3.3	1.88
	5	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.1)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
23.9%

Draw
26.4%

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.1%

26.3%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

26%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Bozorgy Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Faisal I. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neve Shaanan Eldad is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	8	3	2	3	14:11	3	11
10	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	2	3	2	9:10	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
02.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
20.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLTWW
- Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Israeli Liga Alef North
01.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Karmiel	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Tzeirey Tamra - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Ironi Nesher	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWW

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad