Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 13

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad		Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.42
	2.66	3.22	2.46	Watch
	2.67	3.15	2.38
	2.66	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.82)	3.09 ↓ (3.38)	2.45 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
33.9%

Draw
29.2%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Umm al Fahm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Bashir B. ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Khoury M. ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, Gabarin N. A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

M Nujeidat Ahmad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

M Nujeidat Ahmad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5	1	4	0	8:7	1	7
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	6	1	1	4	7:11	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Tzeirey Tamra	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLTL
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
20.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
27.11.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWWL

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide