Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Maccabi Petah Tikva

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.7	3.05	2.41
	2.83	2.9	2.56
	2.88	2.88	2.55
	2.75	3.1	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	2.99 ↓ (3.23)	2.47 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
32.9%

Draw
30.4%

Maccabi Petah Tikva
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

30%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Maccabi Petah Tikva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Petah Tikva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.5%	88.1%	4.5%

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Maccabi Petah Tikva Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm will win (votes: 5 - 7.5%). Maccabi Petah Tikva will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 59 - 88.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 80.3% – 95.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
03.03.23	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1 ✺
27.02.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0 ✺
10.02.23	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWW
- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
06.03.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Agudat Sport Ashdod	3:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
01.03.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.02.23	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:4 ✺
20.02.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
07.10.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0
24.02.20	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:1
01.11.19	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1

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