Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Harborough Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.35
	1.62	3.97	4.57
	1.50	4.33	5.64	Watch
	1.61	3.74	4.72
	1.44	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)	4.01 ↑ (4)	5.12 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
59.1%

Draw
23%

Alvechurch
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.8%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.6%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harborough Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvechurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harborough Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Morris A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Harborough is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alvechurch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Harborough has had a series of home games.

In this match, Harborough is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Harborough won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Harborough won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.11.25	Royston Town - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Harborough Town - Rushden & Diamonds	4:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Harborough Town - Stratford Town	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Harborough Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Harborough Town - Altrincham	0:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTWL
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
01.11.25	Alvechurch - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Alvechurch - Worcester City	1:0 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
20.10.25	Redditch United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	St Ives Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Alvechurch - Quorn	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.12.24	Harborough Town - Alvechurch	0:1
13.08.24	Alvechurch - Harborough Town	1:1

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