Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Alvechurch		Quorn

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.2	2.68
	2.38	3.46	2.57
	2.35	3.28	2.64
	2.17	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.12)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	2.72 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
39.3%

Draw
27.4%

Quorn
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Quorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Alvechurch - Quorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Goodson Z. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Tattum F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
56', 1 - 2, Cox L. ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, Wakefield K. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Cobourne S. ⚽,
76', 2 - 4, Cobourne S. ⚽,
90', 3 - 4, Tope ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Alvechurch is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Quorn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alvechurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Quorn has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Basford United - Alvechurch	0:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Alvechurch - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Worcester City - Alvechurch	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Bury Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTW
- Quorn
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Quorn - Corby Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Enfield Town - Quorn	5:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Quorn - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Quorn - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Quorn - Kettering Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW

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