Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.92
	2.78	3.87	2.18	Watch
	3.2	3.54	1.99
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.78)	3.6 ↓ (3.87)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
30.1%

Draw
25.4%

Spalding United
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

24%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

23.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Alvechurch - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Nicholson J. ⚽,
72', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spalding will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Alvechurch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Alvechurch - Worcester City	1:0 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
20.10.25	Redditch United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	St Ives Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Alvechurch - Quorn	3:4 ✺
11.10.25	Alvechurch - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Spalding United
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Spalding United - Corby Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Spalding United - Royston Town	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Spalding United - Sudbury Town	5:1 ✺
14.10.25	Bishops Stortford - Spalding United	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	South Shields - Spalding United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.04.25	Spalding United - Alvechurch	0:0
14.12.24	Alvechurch - Spalding United	0:1
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Spalding United - Alvechurch	1:2

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