Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Harborough Town		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.85	3.6	3.7
	1.82	4.05	3.75
	1.89	4.2	3.3	Watch
	1.78	3.9	3
	1.96	4.26	3.3	Watch
	1.82	3.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)	3.94 ↑ (3.63)	3.46 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
50%

Draw
23.4%

St Albans City
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Harborough Town - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent results have been tough for Harborough (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by St Albans have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Harborough may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Harborough holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Harborough Town - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

St Albans City - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English National League North
26.09.26	Macclesfield Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Harborough Town - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Harborough Town - Hereford	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Brackley Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Harborough Town - Marine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- St Albans City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Cray Wanderers - St Albans City	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	St Albans City - Three Bridges	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Cheshunt - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	St Albans City - Stanway Rovers	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ramsgate - St Albans City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English National League North
27.10.26	Buxton - Harborough Town	✺
24.10.26	Harborough Town - Worksop Town	✺
- St Albans City
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Whitehawk - St Albans City	✺

Harborough Town - St Albans City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide