The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harborough Town 47%
Draw 25.4%
AFC Telford United 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
25%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
24%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harborough Town's performance.
AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Telford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harborough Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Telford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harborough Town - AFC Telford United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 18).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Harborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Harborough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Harborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Harborough: 1.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Harborough
10
3
3
4
10:12
-2
12
21
AFC Telford
10
2
3
5
8:15
-7
9
Last Results with these Odds
Harborough Town - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.4%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
AFC Telford United - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.