Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Harborough Town		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.8	2.05
	2.8	3.6	2.05
	2.98	3.8	2.05
	2.98	3.81	2
	2.98	3.75	2.08	Watch
	2.49	3.65	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.51)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	2.08 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
32.1%

Draw
24.3%

Worksop Town
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

23.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

23.9%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Harborough Town - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Harborough has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Worksop is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Harborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Worksop Town - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.25	Harborough Town - Quorn	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Harborough Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Kettering Town - Harborough Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Harborough Town - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Bury Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWW
- Worksop Town
English National League North
06.09.25	Merthyr Town - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Worksop Town - Spennymoor Town	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Worksop Town - Chester	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Peterborough Sports - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Worksop Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTWWW

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