Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Harbour View Stadium (Kingston)


	Harbour View		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.15	2.58
	2.84	3.34	2.33
	2.48	3.49	2.63	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.52	2.34	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.76)	3.31 ↑ (3.18)	2.47 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harbour View
35.3%

Draw
27.7%

Tivoli Gardens
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.7%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harbour View has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harbour View than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Harbour View - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tivoli Gardens (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tivoli Gardens (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harbour View won 0.

Harbour View is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tivoli Gardens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Harbour View may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Harbour View won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:41. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Harbour View won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harbour View
Jamaica National Premier League
25.01.26	Dunbeholden - Harbour View	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	Harbour View - Treasure Beach	3:4 ✺
15.01.26	Harbour View - Waterhouse	1:1 ✺
12.01.26	Arnett Gardens - Harbour View	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Chapelton Maroons - Harbour View	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
28.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Treasure Beach	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Racing United	0:0 ✺
19.01.26	Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens	3:2 ✺
15.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
12.10.25	Tivoli Gardens - Harbour View	2:1
20.04.25	Tivoli Gardens - Harbour View	2:1
23.02.25	Harbour View - Tivoli Gardens	2:2
24.11.24	Tivoli Gardens - Harbour View	6:0
25.03.24	Tivoli Gardens - Harbour View	1:0
27.12.23	Harbour View - Tivoli Gardens	0:3
19.03.23	Harbour View - Tivoli Gardens	2:2

Harbour View - Tivoli Gardens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide