Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Edward Seaga Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Tivoli Gardens		Treasure Beach

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.86	3.4	3.96
	1.85	3.62	3.98	Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.7
	1.79	3.34	4.13
	1.81	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Gardens
49.5%

Draw
27.1%

Treasure Beach
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

25.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Treasure Beach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treasure Beach than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tivoli Gardens - Treasure Beach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tivoli Gardens could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
12	Treasure Beach	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
25.01.26	Cavalier - Tivoli Gardens	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Racing United	0:0 ✺
19.01.26	Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens	3:2 ✺
15.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLLW
- Treasure Beach FC
Jamaica National Premier League
25.01.26	Treasure Beach - Arnett Gardens	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Harbour View - Treasure Beach	3:4 ✺
14.01.26	Racing United - Treasure Beach	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Molynes United - Treasure Beach	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Treasure Beach - Dunbeholden	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
03.03.24	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	0:5
04.12.23	Tivoli Gardens - Treasure Beach	3:2

Tivoli Gardens - Treasure Beach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide