The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tivoli Gardens 30.1%
Draw 28.1%
Montego Bay United 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
27.2%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
26.3%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tivoli Gardens's performance.
Montego Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montego Bay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tivoli Gardens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montego Bay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Montego Bay United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Montego Bay United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Montego Bay United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
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