Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Jasceria Park Recreational Center (Kingston)


	Molynes United		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.82
	2.04	3.38	3.51	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.34	3.43	2.86	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (3.05)	3.32 ↓ (3.61)	3.19 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molynes United
43.4%

Draw
27.7%

Tivoli Gardens
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

25.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molynes United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molynes United's performance.

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tivoli Gardens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molynes United than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molynes United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tivoli Gardens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Molynes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tivoli Gardens (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tivoli Gardens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
59', 🟥,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molynes won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Molynes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tivoli Gardens will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Molynes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Molynes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
11	Molynes	4	1	0	3	4:11	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molynes United
Jamaica National Premier League
14.01.26	Dunbeholden - Molynes United	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Molynes United - Treasure Beach	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Molynes United - Mount Pleasant	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Waterhouse - Molynes United	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Molynes United - Arnett Gardens	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 TLTWW
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
15.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United	2:2 ✺
29.12.25	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
21.09.25	Tivoli Gardens - Molynes United	1:1
12.03.25	Tivoli Gardens - Molynes United	3:0
22.12.24	Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens	0:2
24.10.24	Tivoli Gardens - Molynes United	0:0
20.03.24	Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens	3:6
17.12.23	Tivoli Gardens - Molynes United	1:0
23.04.23	Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens	4:3

Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide