Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 28

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Laagri kunstmurustaadion (Laagri)


	Harju JK Laagri		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.75	3.6
	1.85	4	3.25	Watch
	1.87	3.8	3.6
	1.82	3.68	3.73	Watch
	1.57	4	4
	1.81	3.84	3.53
	1.78	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)	3.62 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
51.2%

Draw
23.7%

Viimsi JK
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

23.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Rimmel M. (G) 4. Jarve A. 87. Jose M. 3. Kaevats A. 6. Kariste J. 17. Kelement M. 11. Kose A. 16. Kriis K. 7. Reimaa R. 23. Rudenko Daniil 10. Sikk A.	31. Nomm K. (G) 25. Allast M. 3. Jalle M. 8. Kaljuvere K. 7. Kore J. 20. Laidvee R. 22. Laidvee R. 9. Lehtmets G. 6. Lode R. 38. Luts J. 11. Tammeveski K.
Substitutes
14. Antonov K. A. 13. Einmann K. 45. Kangur S. 22. Kesa M. 44. Must S. 1. Vainula J. M. (G) 26. Vali K.	96. Kollist J. T. 28. Krimm N. 12. Lahe C. 42. Magi O. 19. Ojamets A. 4. Otsasoo R. 10. Toomet J. 77. Vahe R. 29. Valkna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Laidvee R. 🟨,
27', Tammeveski K. ↓, Otsasoo R. ↑,
36', Otsasoo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Lode R. 🟨,
61', Kariste J. 🟨,
64', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
67', Luts J. 🟨,
67', Kariste J. 🟨,
67', 🟥,
69', 🟨,
74', 🟥,
83', Lehtmets G. ↓, Magi O. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harju won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Harju will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Harju won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Harju won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Esiliiga
15.09.24	Paide U21 - Harju JK Laagri	0:6 ✺
31.08.24	Elva - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:0 ✺
21.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri	2:6 ✺
17.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWT
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
15.09.24	Flora U21 - Viimsi JK	4:1 ✺
31.08.24	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Paide U21 - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
20.08.24	Viimsi JK - Tabasalu	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Viimsi JK - Elva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
20.07.24	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	4:4
02.06.24	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	2:2
18.09.22	Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK	1:0
06.08.22	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	0:1
18.06.22	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	2:2
14.03.22	Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK	0:1
Club Friendly
30.01.22	Harju JK Laagri - Viimsi JK	1:1

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