Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 23

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Laagri kunstmurustaadion (Laagri)


	Harju JK Laagri		Tartu Welco

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.75	5.25
	1.42	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.44	4.79	5.09
	1.44	4.83	5.32	Watch
	1.41	4.75	5.66
	1.42	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)	4.77 ↑ (4)	5.39 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
64%

Draw
19.1%

Tartu Welco
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

21.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harju JK Laagri's performance.

Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Rimmel M. (G) 44. Must S. 3. Kaevats A. 4. Jarve A. (C) 23. Rudenko Daniil 7. Reimaa R. 87. Jose M. 14. Antonov K. A. 11. Kose A. 16. Kriis K. 9. Eerme K.	22. Agarmaa M. (G) 6. Kala R. 32. Salu R. 5. Reesar R. 13. Sokolov I. 8. Tekko T. (C) 18. Penu M. 95. Saupold T. 11. Magi M. 28. Roos M. 20. Mugra M.
Substitutes
13. Einmann K. 45. Kangur S. 6. Kariste J. 17. Kelement M. 22. Kesa M. 10. Sikk A. 1. Vainula J. M. (G) 20. Viira S. M.	26. Hoffmann T. 90. Karach M. (G) 15. Kiivit A. 9. Mottus E. 70. Petmanson J. 19. Raudmae J. 34. Saareleht T. 79. Vana K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Eerme K. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
22', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Salu R. (Pen),
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Cup
14.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United	3:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
10.08.24	Flora U21 - Harju JK Laagri	1:3 ✺
03.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - FC Tallinn	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tabasalu	5:1 ✺
20.07.24	Viimsi JK - Harju JK Laagri	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT
- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
10.08.24	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:3 ✺
05.08.24	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	3:5 ✺
Estonian Cup
31.07.24	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	1:3 ET ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.07.24	Paide U21 - Tartu Welco	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
11.05.24	Tartu Welco - Harju JK Laagri	0:2
13.04.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco	0:0

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